Which is pretty much what I said - even though the inversion has historically indicated a coming recession, there are economists who are saying it's a false alarm this time. We'll see if they're right.
There are signs other than the yield curve inversion to look for, and while most are still green, some of them are starting to flash yellow:
http://www.bankrate.com/personal-finance/smart-money/watch-these-indicators-know-when-recession-could-be-coming/
The yield curve inversion doesn't mean that we're in a recession - IF the inversion is again signaling a recession, we won't see it for 10-12 months or so - just in time for the 2020 elections. |
